Yet, accurately determining the difficulty of a matchup and the true value of a player can be challenging if you use the same old dusty stats that every fantasy site has been using for the last decade.
That's why my weekly column 'Number Crunch' uses a proprietary system called "FantasyoMatic," which uses an algorithm to provide the actual strength of an opponent and actual player capabilities with accuracy levels that you cannot find anywhere else. This system takes all the emotion and guesswork out of winning in fantasy football, and has proven to be up to 46 percent more accurate than the metrics that everyone else in your league is using.
Sound complicated? Don't worry -- it's simple to understand. All you need to know is that the player or matchup with the higher rating is the better option. Positive numbers mean positive matchups, negative numbers mean negative matchups. That's it.
Kirk Cousins' "great" rated matchup against the Saints is the best matchup of for any quarterback in Week 10. Cousins' player rating ranks him as a QB2 for weekly scoring, but quarterbacks with even worse ratings than his have excelled against the Saints this season. Cousins' 82.6 passer rating ranks 24th in the league, but New Orleans allows a league-high 112.0 rating to opposing quarterbacks. The Saints give up the most passing touchdowns in the league and allowing four per game on average over their last three games. Even if you omit Eli Manning's ridiculous six touchdown performance, New Orleans still gives up just under three touchdowns a game going back to Week 5.
Blake Bortles is a top 10 fantasy quarterback. Let that sink in. Bortles is producing despite having only faced two positive matchups all season. This week Bortles enjoys his second "great" rated matchup of the year as the Jaguars travel to face the Ravens. Although the Jaguars only score on 30 percent of their offensive possessions, the Ravens allow opposing offenses to score 45 percent of the time, second-highest in the league. Bortles' touchdown numbers rank behind only nine other quarterbacks, but his 10 interceptions have kept him from getting higher in the ranks. The Ravens will give Bortles an opportunity to improve his TD:INT ratio as they have only forced three interceptions all season.
Justin Forsett loves a good matchup. He scores 12 fantasy points a game against positive matchups but only six against negative ones. Forsett's three "great" rated matchups already this season are more than most running backs see in a season, and he is averaging 14 fantasy points against defenses with that rating. This week, Forsett faces his fourth "great" rated matchup of the season as the Ravens host the Jaguars. Jacksonville can be deceiving as a matchup considering that they lead the NFL in fewest yards per carry with just 3.2. Rather, it is their eight rushing touchdowns and three receiving touchdowns allowed to opposing fantasy running backs that make them a good matchup. The Ravens average 3.4 red zone appearances per game, providing Forsett with enough opportunities to take advantage of this weakness.
DeMarco Murray is starting to deliver the fantasy production that his owners hoped for when drafting him this summer. Over his last four outings, Murray posted more than 18 fantasy points three times, and two of those games came against negative matchups. This week, Murray gets his best matchup of the season with a "great" rated matchup against Miami. Miami already gave three running backs their best game of the season so far this year. Murray's chances of scoring a touchdown in this contest are high considering that Miami's 1.3 rushing touchdowns given up per game over their last three games is tied for second-most in the league over that span.
DeSean Jackson owners waited patiently for the chance to plug him in their lineups, only to be disappointed by a six-target dud in his first game back in Week 10. The coaching staff already indicated that they intend to get him more involved in the game plan this week in a "great" rated matchup against the Saints. Jackson's big-play ability could come in handy against a Saints defense that gives up the league's third-highest yards per pass attempt and the most receiving yards to receivers. In 2014, Jackson averaged 13 fantasy points against "great" rated matchups and scored 3.00 fantasy points per touch (FPPT) in those games.
Since Dan Campbell took over as head coach, Jarvis Landry has received 23 percent of the Dolphins passing targets. Landry's share of the targets have accounted for no more than eight in a game compared to an average of 11 targets a game under Philbin. In Week 9, things appear to have moved back to the Philbin-era, as Landry had 13 targets with four rush attempts and posted his highest non-touchdown scoring game of the season. In order for Landry to continue to cash in for fantasy owners he will need to get in the end zone. This week may be his best chance to score all season due to his "great" rated matchup against the Eagles. Philadelphia allows the fifth-most touchdowns to receivers this season, with 1.5 per game and they just gave up three last week against Dallas and Matt Cassel.